| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.0% | 36% | +8.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 77% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.0% | 50% | +5.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 52% | +0.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.2% | 27.8% | 27.0% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 24.1% | 37.7% |
| logistic | 33.7% | 28.9% | 37.4% |
| Crawley Town | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1321 | 1368 |
| Surface Elo | 1321 | 1368 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 1.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Salford | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Salford | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Chesterfield | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Chesterfield | 2 - 2 | D |
| 06 Oct | H | Bromley | 4 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bristol Rvs | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Exeter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Exeter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Stockport | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Crawley Town | 0 - 0 | Shrewsbury |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Shrewsbury | 1 - 0 | Crawley Town |
| 03 May 2025 | Shrewsbury | 1 - 2 | Crawley Town |
| 12 Oct 2024 | Crawley Town | 3 - 5 | Shrewsbury |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.84 | 54.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |