| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.3% | 67% | -5.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| logistic | 69.8% | 30.2% |
| Marin Cilic | Zhizhen Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1749 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1749 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Adam Walton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Yosuke Watanuki | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Adam Walton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Kaichi Uchida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Kaichi Uchida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Tomas Machac | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep 2024 | Marin Cilic | 2 - 0 | Zhizhen Zhang |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |