OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-13

🎾 WTA Wuhan, China Women Singles · Tuesday 13 October 2026, 06:10 UTC · finished

Katie Boulter 1.20 0 - 2 1.20 Diana Shnaider

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	78.3%	78%	+0.5%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
markov	20.7%	79.3%
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	16.2%	83.7%
logistic	38.2%	61.8%

Inputs the models saw

	Katie Boulter	Diana Shnaider
Elo (pre-match)	1620	1761
Surface Elo	1620	1761
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	1.20
Form trend	0.00	0.00
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.00	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.00	1.00
Rest days	10	8
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	2 W · 0 D

Katie Boulter: last 5

12 Oct	A	Diana Shnaider	0 - 2	L
02 Oct	A	Karolina Muchova	0 - 2	L
30 Sep	A	Mai Hontama	2 - 0	W
30 Sep	A	Karolina Muchova	0 - 2	L
30 Sep	H	Mai Hontama	2 - 0	W

Diana Shnaider: last 5

12 Oct	H	Jelena Ostapenko	0 - 2	L
12 Oct	H	Karolina Muchova	2 - 0	W
12 Oct	H	Yulia Putintseva	2 - 0	W
12 Oct	H	Katie Boulter	2 - 0	W
04 Oct	A	Ekaterina Alexandrova	1 - 2	L

Head to head

12 Oct 2026	Diana Shnaider	2 - 0	Katie Boulter
09 Jun 2025	Diana Shnaider	2 - 1	Katie Boulter
28 Oct 2024	Diana Shnaider	2 - 0	Katie Boulter

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.27	78.7%	12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	3.95	25.3%	12 Oct 06:15

Generated 2026-10-30 15:52 UTC