| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.8% | 83% | -9.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 74.3% | 25.7% |
| logistic | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| Taylor Fritz | Jaume Munar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2031 | 1787 |
| Surface Elo | 2031 | 1787 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 26 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Jaume Munar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Sep | A | Mattia Bellucci | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 3 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Brandon Nakashima | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | Arthur Rinderknech | 0 - 3 | L |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Jaume Munar | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 07 Mar 2022 | Jaume Munar | 1 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.70 | 21.3% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 30 Sep 06:15 |