| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Alverca | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1502 | 1472 |
| Surface Elo | 1502 | 1472 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.83 | 2.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 12 Sep | A | Nacional | 3 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Sp Braga | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Santa Clara | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | Sp Lisbon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Estrela | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Sep | H | Estrela | 3 - 3 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Santa Clara | 0 - 4 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Sp Lisbon | 0 - 4 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Estoril | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Porto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Apr 2026 | Rio Ave | 1 - 2 | Alverca |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Alverca | 1 - 1 | Rio Ave |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 19 Sep 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 19 Sep 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 19 Sep 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 19 Sep 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 19 Sep 18:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.77 | 26.5% | 19 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.53 | 28.3% | 19 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.08 | 48.1% | 19 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 19 Sep 06:16 |