| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.9% | 73% | -7.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 88.5% | 95% | -6.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 85.7% | 92% | -6.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 58% | -3.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.5% | 28.6% | 14.9% |
| xgboost | 71.5% | 19.8% | 8.6% |
| logistic | 74.0% | 17.8% | 8.2% |
| Aris | Panetolikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1629 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1629 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.78 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 0.89 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.89 | 1.89 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | A | APO Levadiakos FC | 0 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Levadeiakos | 0 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Atromitos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Panathinaikos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Atromitos | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | OFI Crete | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | AEK | 0 - 5 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Olympiakos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Kifisia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | PAOK | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Panetolikos | 0 - 1 | Aris |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Aris | 0 - 2 | Panetolikos |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Aris | 2 - 1 | Panetolikos |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Panetolikos | 2 - 1 | Aris |
| 14 Jan 2024 | Panetolikos | 0 - 4 | Aris |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Aris | 3 - 0 | Panetolikos |
| 29 Dec 2022 | Aris | 1 - 0 | Panetolikos |
| 28 Aug 2022 | Panetolikos | 3 - 1 | Aris |
| 30 Jan 2022 | Panetolikos | 0 - 2 | Aris |
| 24 Oct 2021 | Aris | 5 - 1 | Panetolikos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 8.50 | 11.8% | 07 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.75 | 21.1% | 07 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.35 | 74.1% | 07 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 07 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.08 | 48.1% | 07 Nov 17:30 |