| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.7% | 73% | -12.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| logistic | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Mees Rottgering | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1541 | 1499 |
| Surface Elo | 1541 | 1499 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Andy Andrade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Edward Winter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Andy Andrade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Edward Winter | 0 - 2 | Mees Rottgering |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |