| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.6% | 55% | -3.3% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.6% | 83% | -4.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.2% | 75% | -5.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 56% | +0.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.2% | 26.5% | 22.3% |
| xgboost | 52.2% | 26.7% | 21.2% |
| logistic | 48.3% | 26.9% | 24.7% |
| Ayr | Queens Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1479 | 1424 |
| Surface Elo | 1479 | 1424 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 14 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 5 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Partick | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Partick | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | Livingston | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Morton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Morton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Inverness C | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Queens Park | 0 - 2 | Ayr |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Queens Park | 1 - 1 | Ayr |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Ayr | 1 - 2 | Queens Park |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Queens Park | 0 - 0 | Ayr |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Ayr | 1 - 1 | Queens Park |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Ayr | 2 - 2 | Queens Park |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Queens Park | 2 - 3 | Ayr |
| 16 Nov 2024 | Ayr | 3 - 2 | Queens Park |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Queens Park | 1 - 1 | Ayr |
| 23 Mar 2024 | Ayr | 1 - 2 | Queens Park |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.75 | 57.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |