| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.2% | 44% | +1.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.1% | 82% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.5% | 58% | +3.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 71% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.4% | 29.5% | 25.0% |
| xgboost | 40.9% | 27.4% | 31.7% |
| logistic | 36.8% | 30.4% | 32.8% |
| Volendam | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1407 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1407 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Rest days | 138 | 502 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 26 Sep | H | VVV Venlo | 3 - 2 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | GVVV Veenendaal | 2 - 3 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | SV Spakenburg | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | BVV Barendrecht | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 May | H | Telstar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | BVV Barendrecht | 1 - 4 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | FC Dordrecht | 2 - 3 | L |
| 18 May | A | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 1 | D |
| 14 May | H | For Sittard | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 May | H | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Almere City | 1 - 1 | Volendam |
| 14 Jan 2024 | Volendam | 0 - 1 | Almere City |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.41 | 70.9% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |