| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.4% | 25% | +16.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.3% | 80% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.9% | 32% | +22.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 60% | -3.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.6% | 31.3% | 33.1% |
| xgboost | 42.9% | 20.2% | 36.8% |
| logistic | 39.7% | 29.3% | 31.0% |
| Kidderminster | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1457 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1457 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Solihull | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Solihull | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Altrincham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Altrincham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Rochdale | 4 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 - 6 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 - 6 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Luton | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Luton | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.20 | 23.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |