| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.0% | 42% | +2.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.0% | 75% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.4% | 58% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.5% | 61% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.6% |
| xgboost | 44.1% | 20.2% | 35.7% |
| logistic | 40.7% | 28.6% | 30.7% |
| Paris FC | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1699 | 1751 |
| Surface Elo | 1699 | 1751 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Quevilly Rouen | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Lorient | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Lorient | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Concarneau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Bastia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | OFI Crete | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Auxerre | 4 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Auxerre | 4 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Stade Lavallois MFC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Lyon | 0 - 4 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Rennes | 2 - 1 | Paris FC |
| 07 Nov 2025 | Paris FC | 0 - 1 | Rennes |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.01 | 33.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.38 | 42.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |