| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.2% | 81% | -21.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 83.6% | 94% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 77.9% | 93% | -14.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.3% | 73% | -8.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 17.8% | 20.0% | 62.2% |
| xgboost | 15.5% | 14.9% | 69.6% |
| logistic | 17.0% | 26.3% | 56.7% |
| OFI Crete | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1524 | 1757 |
| Surface Elo | 1524 | 1757 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Kalamata | 3 - 4 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | PAE PS Kalamata | 3 - 4 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Rennes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | AEK | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | AEK | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Freiburg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Freiburg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | KKS Lech Poznan | 4 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Mainz | 4 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Mainz | 4 - 3 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.54 | 13.3% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 12.01 | 8.3% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.37 | 73.0% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.25 | 30.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |