| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.2% | 38% | +8.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.1% | 77% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.9% | 54% | +6.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 55% | +0.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.0% | 28.5% | 37.5% |
| xgboost | 35.7% | 29.5% | 34.8% |
| logistic | 32.7% | 29.8% | 37.5% |
| Reggiana | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1366 | 1388 |
| Surface Elo | 1366 | 1388 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 148 | 148 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 27 Sep | A | Perugia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Latina Calcio | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Sudtirol | 0 - 0 | D |
| 08 May | H | Sampdoria | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 May | A | Modena | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Pescara | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Vis Pesaro 1898 | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Pisa | 3 - 0 | W |
| 08 May | A | Pescara | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 May | H | Venezia | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Spezia | 0 - 1 | Reggiana |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Reggiana | 1 - 1 | Spezia |
| 04 May 2025 | Reggiana | 2 - 1 | Spezia |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Spezia | 1 - 0 | Reggiana |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Reggiana | 0 - 0 | Spezia |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Spezia | 1 - 2 | Reggiana |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.81 | 55.2% | 04 Oct 06:15 |