OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-16
⚽ England Championship · Friday 16 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Burnley 1.20 1 - 2 1.40 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 45.2%32%+13.0%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 72.6%60%+12.6%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 59.2%44%+15.0%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.6%55%+2.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson44.6%26.8%28.5%
xgboost31.8%37.8%30.4%
logistic37.7%29.2%33.1%
Inputs the models saw
BurnleyWolverhampton Wanderers
Elo (pre-match)15181565
Surface Elo15181565
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.40
Form trend-0.300.50
Season points per game1.671.00
Season goals for / game2.330.67
Season goals against / game1.001.33
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W1 W · 5 D
Burnley: last 5
13 OctHCharlton2 - 2D
13 OctHCharlton2 - 2D
10 OctAWatford4 - 0W
10 OctAWatford4 - 0W
09 OctHPreston North End2 - 2D
Wolverhampton Wanderers: last 5
13 OctHBolton1 - 3L
13 OctHBolton1 - 3L
13 OctAGateshead0 - 0D
10 OctAMiddlesbrough0 - 1L
10 OctAMiddlesbrough0 - 1L
Head to head
24 May 2026Burnley1 - 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
26 Oct 2025Wolverhampton Wanderers2 - 3Burnley
02 Apr 2024Burnley1 - 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
05 Dec 2023Wolverhampton Wanderers1 - 0Burnley
24 Apr 2022Burnley1 - 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
01 Dec 2021Wolverhampton Wanderers0 - 0Burnley
25 Apr 2021Wolverhampton Wanderers0 - 4Burnley
21 Dec 2020Burnley2 - 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
15 Jul 2020Burnley1 - 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
25 Aug 2019Wolverhampton Wanderers1 - 1Burnley
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2744.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6127.7%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.1931.4%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8554.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0050.0%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:21 UTC