| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.5% | 56% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.9% | 65.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| logistic | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Yannick Hanfmann | Jan Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1867 | 1853 |
| Surface Elo | 1867 | 1853 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.78 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Rinky Hijikata | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Marcos Giron | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Frances Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Marcos Giron | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |