| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.5% | 83% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.9% | 32.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 86.8% | 13.1% |
| logistic | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Iva Jovic | Kamilla Rakhimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1839 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1839 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Harriet Dart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Kamilla Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Harriet Dart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Peyton Stearns | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Marina Bassols Ribera | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Marina Bassols Ribera | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Iva Jovic | 2 - 0 | Kamilla Rakhimova |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Iva Jovic | 2 - 1 | Kamilla Rakhimova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.65 | 21.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 04 Oct 06:15 |