| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.9% | 53% | +0.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| logistic | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Tristan Boyer | Spencer Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1612 | 1581 |
| Surface Elo | 1612 | 1581 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Timo Legout | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Spencer Johnson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Vrba, Jakub | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Andre Ilagan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Jay Friend | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Spencer Johnson | 0 - 2 | Tristan Boyer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |