| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.4% | 55% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.8% | 52.0% |
| xgboost | 30.0% | 68.5% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| San Jose Sharks | Boston Bruins | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1473 | 1544 |
| Surface Elo | 1473 | 1544 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.60 | 3.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.40 | 2.17 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Edmonton Oilers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | St. Louis Blues | 3 - 2 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Dallas Stars | 0 - 5 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 5 - 4 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 4 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 5 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 6 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 4 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Winnipeg Jets | 4 - 3 | W |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Boston Bruins | 2 - 4 | San Jose Sharks |
| 24 Nov 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 1 | Boston Bruins |
| 23 Mar 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 1 | Boston Bruins |
| 20 Jan 2025 | Boston Bruins | 6 - 3 | San Jose Sharks |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.12 | 47.2% | 14 Oct 02:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 14 Oct 02:20 |