| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.0% | 57% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.8% | 83% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.6% | 75% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 63% | -3.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.6% | 21.0% | 19.4% |
| xgboost | 48.1% | 28.1% | 23.8% |
| logistic | 56.5% | 26.2% | 17.3% |
| Bielefeld | Osnabruck | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1418 | 1363 |
| Surface Elo | 1418 | 1363 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.71 | 1.86 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Bochum | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Bochum | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Heidenheim | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Heidenheim | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Darmstadt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dresden | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Dresden | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 May 2020 | Bielefeld | 1 - 1 | Osnabruck |
| 07 Oct 2019 | Osnabruck | 0 - 1 | Bielefeld |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 18 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 18 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 18 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.75 | 57.1% | 18 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 18 Oct 12:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.69 | 59.2% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |