OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-28

🎾 tennis_atp_vienna_open · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · scheduled

Jurij Rodionov 1.20 16:30 1.80 Nikoloz Basilashvili

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	64.5%	58%	+6.1%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	28.3%	71.7%
logistic	35.8%	64.2%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Jurij Rodionov	Nikoloz Basilashvili
Elo (pre-match)	1642	1840
Surface Elo	1642	1840
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	1.80
Form trend	0.60	0.90
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	10	3
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Jurij Rodionov: last 5

18 Oct	H	Pierre Hugues Herbert	1 - 2	L
07 Sep	A	Daniel Masur	1 - 2	L
07 Sep	H	Matisse Bobichon	2 - 0	W
03 Sep	A	Jakub Mensik	1 - 3	L
31 Aug	A	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3 - 0	W

Nikoloz Basilashvili: last 5

25 Oct	A	Daniil Medvedev	1 - 2	L
25 Oct	A	Daniil Medvedev	1 - 2	L
24 Oct	H	Stefanos Tsitsipas	2 - 1	W
24 Oct	H	Stefanos Tsitsipas	2 - 1	W
23 Oct	H	Adrian Mannarino	2 - 0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings in our data.

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.18	45.9%	28 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.72	58.1%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.20	45.5%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.67	59.9%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.15	46.5%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.69	59.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.12	47.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.67	59.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.36	42.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.73	57.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Jurij Rodionov	2.38	42.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.74	57.5%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.24	44.6%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.69	59.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.14	46.7%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.69	59.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.17	46.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.70	58.8%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.18	45.9%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.68	59.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.15	46.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.69	59.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.36	42.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.73	57.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Jurij Rodionov	2.38	42.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.74	57.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.14	46.7%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.69	59.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.24	44.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.72	58.1%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.08	48.1%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.62	61.7%	28 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.71	58.5%	28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	2.20	45.5%	28 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.15	46.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.62	61.7%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.10	47.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.58	63.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.18	45.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.68	59.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.18	45.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.68	59.5%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.20	45.5%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.67	59.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.20	45.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.70	58.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Jurij Rodionov	2.10	47.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Nikoloz Basilashvili	1.64	61.0%	28 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:01 UTC