| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.8% | 70% | -2.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 19.0% | 80.9% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Sinja Kraus | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1513 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1513 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Anastasia Potapova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Maya Joint | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Nikola Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Anastasia Potapova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Caty McNally | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sinja Kraus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Caty McNally | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Dayana Yastremska | 0 - 2 | Sinja Kraus |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |