| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.2% | 63% | -9.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| logistic | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1570 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1570 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Calvin Hemery | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Stefano Napolitano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Carlos Taberner | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Dusan Lajovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 1 | Oriol Roca Batalla |
| 27 Jun 2022 | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 0 | Oriol Roca Batalla |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 23 Sep 06:15 |