| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 53% | +0.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 52.8% | 47.1% |
| logistic | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| Elena Pridankina | Erika Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1492 | 1466 |
| Surface Elo | 1492 | 1466 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Fiona Crawley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Ayla Aksu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Zaytseva, Ksenia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Egorova, Daria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | H | Panna Udvardy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Simona Waltert | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Polina Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Elena Micic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Reese Brantmeier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 May | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 02 Oct 06:15 |