| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.7% | 52% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.1% | 46.8% |
| logistic | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Max Dahlin | Oliver Bonding | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1590 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1590 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Naoto Tomizawa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Damir Zhalgasbay | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Alexander Bernard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Vignesh Gogineni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Tommaso Compagnucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Car, Hugo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Nikola Djosic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Marko Mesarovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Matthew Thomson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Sean Daryabeigi | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.79 | 55.9% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 04 Oct 06:15 |