| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.7% | 56% | +1.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 59.5% | 40.4% |
| logistic | 52.6% | 47.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1505 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1505 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.43 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Jessica Pieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Rebeka Masarova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Lombardini, Marta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Despina Papamichail | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Clara Burel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Oksana Selekhmeteva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Nuria Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Alice Tubello | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Ruggeri, Jennifer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Sorana Cirstea | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.99 | 50.2% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |