| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.6% | 67% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.4% | 43.5% |
| logistic | 65.3% | 34.7% |
| Maxim Mrva | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1654 | 1558 |
| Surface Elo | 1654 | 1558 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Dusan Lajovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Fares Zakaria | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Allan Gatoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Dorian Tremblay | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Jack Loge | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 05 Nov 06:15 |