| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.5% | 67% | -9.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.1% | 44.8% |
| logistic | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Iva Jovic | Jasmine Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1796 | 1719 |
| Surface Elo | 1796 | 1719 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Diana Shnaider | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Anhelina Kalinina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Anhelina Kalinina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sara Bejlek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Iva Jovic | 2 - 0 | Jasmine Paolini |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Iva Jovic | 2 - 0 | Jasmine Paolini |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | Jasmine Paolini |
| 05 Mar 2025 | Iva Jovic | 1 - 2 | Jasmine Paolini |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 21 Oct 06:15 |