OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Cambridge 1.80 2 - 3 1.20 Plymouth
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.9%42%+2.2%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.0%79%-3.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 55.2%57%-1.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.7%59%-2.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson29.4%24.9%45.7%
xgboost44.2%28.6%27.3%
logistic42.9%29.1%28.0%
Inputs the models saw
CambridgePlymouth
Elo (pre-match)15681561
Surface Elo15681561
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.20
Form trend-0.200.30
Season points per game1.821.58
Season goals for / game1.641.50
Season goals against / game1.271.42
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 3 D
Cambridge: last 5
20 OctHWycombe2 - 2D
20 OctHWycombe2 - 2D
17 OctABarnsley2 - 1W
17 OctABarnsley2 - 1W
10 OctHBlackpool1 - 0W
Plymouth: last 5
20 OctAStevenage0 - 3L
20 OctAStevenage0 - 3L
17 OctHHuddersfield0 - 2L
17 OctHHuddersfield0 - 2L
12 OctABournemouth1 - 6L
Head to head
22 Apr 2023Plymouth3 - 1Cambridge
10 Dec 2022Cambridge0 - 0Plymouth
22 Feb 2022Cambridge2 - 0Plymouth
17 Aug 2021Plymouth1 - 1Cambridge
22 Feb 2020Plymouth0 - 0Cambridge
07 Dec 2019Cambridge1 - 0Plymouth
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.8235.5%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.2544.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7557.1%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0548.8%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5040.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7357.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC