| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.0% | 58% | -5.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.7% | 55.3% |
| logistic | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Alastair Gray | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1532 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1532 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Dominick Mosejczuk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Li Tu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Patrick Maloney | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Andrew Fenty | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Roger Pascual Ferra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Luca Potenza | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |