OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-05
🎾 ATP Tokyo, Japan Men Singles · Monday 05 October 2026, 09:00 UTC · finished
Jiri Lehecka 2.40 2 - 0 1.20 Valentin Vacherot
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 63.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov59.4%40.6%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost70.6%29.4%
logistic60.9%39.1%
Inputs the models saw
Jiri LeheckaValentin Vacherot
Elo (pre-match)19741836
Surface Elo19741836
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.20
Form trend-0.30-0.90
Season points per game3.002.00
Season goals for / game2.001.33
Season goals against / game0.671.00
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Jiri Lehecka: last 5
05 OctHValentin Vacherot2 - 0W
04 OctHAdolfo Daniel Vallejo2 - 0W
04 OctAAdolfo Daniel Vallejo2 - 0W
03 OctAUgo Humbert2 - 1W
03 OctHUgo Humbert2 - 1W
Valentin Vacherot: last 5
05 OctAJiri Lehecka0 - 2L
04 OctHArthur Fils2 - 1W
04 OctAArthur Fils2 - 1W
02 OctAStefanos Tsitsipas2 - 1W
30 SepHAlexander Blockx2 - 0W
Head to head
05 Oct 2026Jiri Lehecka2 - 0Valentin Vacherot
27 Oct 2025Jiri Lehecka0 - 2Valentin Vacherot
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC