| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.6% | 40% | +14.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| logistic | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Diego Dedura Palomero | Oriol Roca Batalla | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1510 | 1510 |
| Surface Elo | 1510 | 1510 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 490 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Dusan Lajovic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 May | H | Luciano Darderi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Calvin Hemery | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Stefano Napolitano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Sanchez Quilez, Alejo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 21 Sep 06:15 |