| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.5% | 50% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.0% | 79% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.3% | 67% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 60% | -8.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.8% | 25.0% | 33.2% |
| xgboost | 25.6% | 26.3% | 48.1% |
| logistic | 22.1% | 27.5% | 50.4% |
| Leyton Orient | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1454 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1454 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Wycombe | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Luton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Sep | A | Bromley | 5 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Burton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Burton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Crystal Palace | 5 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Blackpool | 4 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Blackpool | 4 - 2 | W |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Leyton Orient | 1 - 3 | Plymouth |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Plymouth | 0 - 1 | Leyton Orient |
| 22 Oct 2019 | Plymouth | 4 - 0 | Leyton Orient |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |