| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.9% | 53% | -4.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.1% | 83% | -8.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.3% | 70% | -9.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 62% | -8.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.8% | 26.2% | 41.0% |
| xgboost | 42.6% | 28.3% | 29.2% |
| logistic | 38.8% | 28.0% | 33.2% |
| Peterhead | Queen of Sth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1377 | 1454 |
| Surface Elo | 1377 | 1454 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.78 | 1.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.78 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Hamilton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Hamilton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Elgin | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Forfar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Airdrie Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Cove Rangers | 4 - 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Hamilton | 1 - 4 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Ross County | 0 - 8 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | East Fife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Airdrie Utd | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Queen of Sth | 0 - 1 | Peterhead |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Peterhead | 1 - 1 | Queen of Sth |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Queen of Sth | 0 - 2 | Peterhead |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Peterhead | 3 - 0 | Queen of Sth |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Queen of Sth | 4 - 0 | Peterhead |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Queen of Sth | 2 - 1 | Peterhead |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Peterhead | 1 - 3 | Queen of Sth |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Queen of Sth | 2 - 0 | Peterhead |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Peterhead | 1 - 4 | Queen of Sth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |