| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 60% | -5.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.7% | 44.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.1% | 51.8% |
| logistic | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Andrej Nedic | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1545 | 1573 |
| Surface Elo | 1545 | 1573 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.31 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.69 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.77 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Karl Friberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Alexandre Reco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Wright, Michael | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Vuk Krstajic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Thando Longwe-Smit | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Odysseas Geladaris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Amit Vales | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |