| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.4% | 47% | +5.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.0% | 49.9% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Clement Chidekh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1758 | 1724 |
| Surface Elo | 1758 | 1724 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Henry Bernet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | David Goffin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| 16 Feb 2026 | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |