| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.4% | 79% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 82.2% | 17.8% |
| logistic | 66.8% | 33.2% |
| Hugo Grenier | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1567 | 1387 |
| Surface Elo | 1567 | 1387 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Thomas Faurel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Christian Langmo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Aug | H | Sebastian Baez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Manas Dhamne | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 21 Sep 06:15 |