| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.8% | 38% | +10.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 75% | +0.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.9% | 53% | +7.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 58% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.9% | 28.1% | 29.1% |
| xgboost | 43.2% | 22.0% | 34.9% |
| logistic | 42.0% | 27.7% | 30.2% |
| Morton | Queens Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1452 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1452 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Arbroath | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Arbroath | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Raith Rovers FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Raith Rvs | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Inverness C | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Inverness C | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Raith Rovers FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Raith Rvs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Arbroath | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Queens Park | 2 - 1 | Morton |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Morton | 0 - 0 | Queens Park |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Queens Park | 3 - 2 | Morton |
| 05 Dec 2025 | Morton | 2 - 1 | Queens Park |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Queens Park | 0 - 0 | Morton |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Morton | 2 - 1 | Queens Park |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Queens Park | 1 - 2 | Morton |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Morton | 0 - 1 | Queens Park |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Queens Park | 1 - 0 | Morton |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Morton | 2 - 0 | Queens Park |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.71 | 58.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |