| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.8% | 76% | -15.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.9% | 76.0% |
| logistic | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Ryan Peniston | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1460 | 1449 |
| Surface Elo | 1460 | 1449 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.86 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 6 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Marcus Walters | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Mae Malige | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.31 | 76.3% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |