| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 41.2% | 57% | -16.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.1% | 80% | -3.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 53.1% | 75% | -22.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.2% | 59% | +15.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.0% | 25.9% | 45.0% |
| xgboost | 37.8% | 22.7% | 39.5% |
| logistic | 41.5% | 25.7% | 32.8% |
| Altrincham | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1492 | 1499 |
| Surface Elo | 1492 | 1499 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 6.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Carlisle | 2 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Carlisle | 2 - 4 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Kidderminster | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Kidderminster | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Yeovil | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Mansfield | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Mansfield | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Stockport | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Stockport | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Sheffield Weds | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Mar 2023 | Altrincham | 0 - 2 | Notts County |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Notts County | 3 - 1 | Altrincham |
| 07 May 2022 | Notts County | 3 - 0 | Altrincham |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Altrincham | 1 - 0 | Notts County |
| 01 May 2021 | Altrincham | 1 - 1 | Notts County |
| 07 Oct 2020 | Notts County | 3 - 1 | Altrincham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.50 | 22.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |