| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 86.4% | 88% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 90.8% | 9.2% |
| logistic | 86.4% | 13.6% |
| Felix Gill | Menelaos Efstathiou | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1617 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1617 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.93 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.79 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Marcus Walters | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Cezar Cretu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Perez Navarro, Pablo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Pavlos Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Perego, G | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Murgett, F | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.55 | 22.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.17 | 85.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |