| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.1% | 52% | +0.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.7% | 29.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| logistic | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Martin Borisiouk | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1466 | 1403 |
| Surface Elo | 1466 | 1403 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 38 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Sep | H | Florent Bax | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Florent Bax | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Dominik Palan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Koki Matsuda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Akira Santillan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Akira Santillan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Binda, Alexander | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Filip Peliwo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Akira Santillan | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |