| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.9% | 53% | -6.3% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 79% | -3.6% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.1% | 71% | -10.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 49% | +4.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.3% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.9% | 25.6% | 32.5% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 27.3% | 27.5% |
| logistic | 44.7% | 27.4% | 27.9% |
| Tranmere | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1355 | 1439 |
| Surface Elo | 1355 | 1439 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Barnet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Newport County | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Newport County | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Fleetwood Town | 4 - 2 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Fleetwood Town | 4 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Oldham | 1 - 4 | L |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Cheltenham | 1 - 3 | Tranmere |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Tranmere | 3 - 2 | Cheltenham |
| 28 Mar 2025 | Tranmere | 2 - 0 | Cheltenham |
| 22 Nov 2024 | Cheltenham | 1 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 02 Apr 2021 | Cheltenham | 4 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 19 Sep 2020 | Tranmere | 0 - 3 | Cheltenham |
| 12 Jan 2019 | Cheltenham | 1 - 3 | Tranmere |
| 11 Aug 2018 | Tranmere | 1 - 0 | Cheltenham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |