| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.8% | 67% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.9% | 31.1% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1556 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1556 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Jelle Sels | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Daniel Jade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Ivan Ivanov | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 11 Oct 06:15 |