| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 63% | -7.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.4% | 46.5% |
| logistic | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1619 | 1580 |
| Surface Elo | 1619 | 1580 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Mikhail Kukushkin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Mikhail Kukushkin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Alexander Shevchenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Yanki Erel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Gauthier Onclin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Timofey Skatov | 2 - 0 | Stefanos Sakellaridis |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 26 Oct 06:15 |