| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.6% | 76% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 80.3% | 19.6% |
| logistic | 68.7% | 31.3% |
| Clement Chidekh | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1787 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1787 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Henry Bernet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Harry Wendelken | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.55 | 28.2% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |