| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.7% | 48% | +14.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 85.7% | 80% | +5.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 77.6% | 70% | +8.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.6% | 68% | -4.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.7% | 32.7% | 18.6% |
| xgboost | 42.7% | 26.2% | 31.1% |
| logistic | 44.9% | 28.4% | 26.7% |
| Getafe | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1590 | 1554 |
| Surface Elo | 1590 | 1554 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.83 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | H | CF Talavera de La Reina | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Sep | A | Betis | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | La Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Sep | H | Celta | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | Osasuna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Villarreal | 1 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Celta | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Levante | 0 - 0 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Real Madrid | 0 - 4 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | La Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 May 2018 | Malaga | 0 - 1 | Getafe |
| 12 Jan 2018 | Getafe | 1 - 0 | Malaga |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.33 | 23.1% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.38 | 42.0% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.57 | 63.7% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.23 | 31.0% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.55 | 39.2% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.54 | 64.9% | 20 Sep 06:16 |