| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.5% | 71% | -4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| logistic | 74.5% | 25.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Duje Ajdukovic | Cesar Bouchelaghem | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1568 | 1461 |
| Surface Elo | 1568 | 1461 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Rocco Piatti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Andrej Martin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Goncalo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Vilius Gaubas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Maxence Rivet | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Charles Chen | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Benito Sanchez Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Makhlouf, Nazim | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Ravasio, Gilberto | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |