| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.5% | 44% | +4.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.0% | 76% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.8% | 63% | +2.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 66% | -6.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 57.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.1% | 30.3% | 29.5% |
| xgboost | 50.0% | 28.1% | 21.9% |
| logistic | 51.6% | 26.5% | 22.0% |
| Santa Clara | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1598 | 1548 |
| Surface Elo | 1598 | 1548 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Imortal DC | 2 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Maritimo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Maritimo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | SC Mineiro Aljustrelense | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Benfica | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Guimaraes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Oct | A | Benfica | 1 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Porto | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Porto | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Sp Braga | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Santa Clara | 1 - 0 | Gil Vicente |
| 03 Nov 2025 | Gil Vicente | 1 - 0 | Santa Clara |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0 - 1 | Santa Clara |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Santa Clara | 2 - 1 | Gil Vicente |
| 06 May 2023 | Santa Clara | 3 - 2 | Gil Vicente |
| 29 Dec 2022 | Gil Vicente | 1 - 0 | Santa Clara |
| 06 Feb 2022 | Gil Vicente | 2 - 2 | Santa Clara |
| 29 Aug 2021 | Santa Clara | 1 - 0 | Gil Vicente |
| 20 Feb 2021 | Gil Vicente | 1 - 0 | Santa Clara |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Santa Clara | 0 - 0 | Gil Vicente |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 08 Nov 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 08 Nov 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 08 Nov 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.25 | 44.4% | 08 Nov 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.62 | 61.7% | 08 Nov 15:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.45 | 29.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.17 | 31.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.55 | 39.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.54 | 64.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |