| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.4% | 62% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.4% | 37.4% |
| logistic | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| Holger Rune | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1865 | 1820 |
| Surface Elo | 1865 | 1820 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Valentin Vacherot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Valentin Vacherot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Jan Lennard Struff | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Feb 2022 | Holger Rune | 2 - 1 | Zizou Bergs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |