| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 39.8% | 37% | +2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.3% | 77% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 51.9% | 51% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 60% | +3.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.4% | 25.3% | 33.3% |
| xgboost | 34.1% | 24.3% | 41.6% |
| logistic | 37.3% | 27.9% | 34.8% |
| Dijon | Red Star | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1486 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1486 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Oct | A | Grenoble | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Grenoble | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Rodez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Rodez Aveyron Football | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Reims | 2 - 4 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Nancy | 1 - 4 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Montpellier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | St Etienne | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Saint-Etienne | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Clermont | 3 - 2 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |